‘Black swan’ events
So called ‘black swan’ events, such as the Baltimore Bridge collapse, can cause a severe and unexpected impact for many businesses. The impact of this tragic accident resulted in the 4,000 commercial trucks that used the bridge each day being rerouted2, leading to supply chain issues, increased delivery times and costs for many businesses.3
The unpredictability of ‘black swan’ events, whether a result of accidents, geopolitical issues or conflict, cyber-attack or extreme weather, expose gaps in supply chain risk management and scenario planning.
Global reliance on marine cargo
Over 80% of the world’s goods are transported by sea, and the volume of sea freight more than doubled between the 1990 and 2021.4 Highlighting the importance of marine cargo to world trade.
As global freight volumes rise, port congestion and pressure on warehousing facilities also increase. The resulting delays in port entries and exits put further strain on warehouse supply, and leads to route diversions and changes to standard port operations. This chain of events will impact supply chains and potentially result in inventory shortages and higher costs due to delivery delays and increased freight costs.